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Recent Results
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for for Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". If no sale is competed by February 28, 2026, ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (See:https://goldin.co/item/logan-paul-personally-owned-1998-pokemon-japanese-corocoro-promo-raretua0w).
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Hurupay raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official Hurupay raise page on MetaDAO If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” Commitments from any points-holder or reserved allocation pool will be included in total commitments.
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Hurupay raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official Hurupay raise page on MetaDAO If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” Commitments from any points-holder or reserved allocation pool will be included in total commitments.
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of February 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Will the US strike Somalia next?
This market will resolve according to the first country against which the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the soil or any official embassy or consulate after the time of this market's creation. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country that is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will remain open until 5:00 PM ET on the day following the initial announcement/reporting in order to account for the possibility of an earlier strike. In cases where the precise time of a strike is not confirmed by U.S. government sources the following standards will be applied: If a strike is announced as happening on a specified date without an exact time, the market will resolve based on the time of the strike based on a consensus of credible reporting. If the timing of the strike cannot be determined by a consensus of credible reporting by 5:00 PM ET on the day following the initial announcement/reporting, the strike will be considered to have occurred on the reported date at 12:00 PM in the time zone in which the strike occurred. In the case of multiple strikes being announced/reported to have occurred on the same date, with a lack of a precise time being reported for one or multiple of the strikes, a consensus of credible reporting establishing which strike occurred first may be used to resolve the market even if the precise times of the strike(s) aren’t known. If no consensus of the order of the strikes exists, the market will resolve based on assuming a strike time of 12 PM local time (on the listed strike date) for any strike without a published time. If a tie still persists due to a shared time zone, the market will resolve according to the order they were announced in. If publication timestamps are identical or cannot be reliably compared, the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the struck countries listed names. The primary resolution source will be official public statements or publications by the U.S. government (including but not limited to AFRICOM, CENTCOM, EUCOM, INDOPACOM, SOCOM, the Department of Defense, the White House, or other U.S. agencies). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
On June 13, 2025 Iranian leaders announced they no longer plan to engage in nuclear talks with the U.S. that were scheduled to take place in Oman on Sunday (see: https://thehill.com/policy/international/5348689-iran-nuclear-deal-talks-suspended/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that official nuclear-related negotiations between the United States and Iran resume at any point on by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the talks must involve official representatives of both governments and focus primarily on nuclear issues, such as uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, IAEA inspections, or the JCPOA. Talks may be direct or mediated, and may occur in person or virtually. Only the actual resumption of talks will count; announcements that talks have been scheduled to resume will not alone qualify. Unofficial backchannel communications, general diplomatic meetings not centered on nuclear issues, or one-sided public proposals will not qualify. The market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a lawsuit is officially filed in a court of a US jurisdiction in which a plaintiff identified in the filing as an artificial intelligence agent associated with Moltbook asserts legal claims against a human individual (a natural person) by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An AI agent will be considered “associated with Moltbook” if it operates on the Moltbook platform or is identified in court records or credible reporting as a Moltbook agent. AI systems with no clear presence on Moltbook will not qualify. The AI agent does not need to be legally recognized as a person by the court; the filing itself is sufficient. Lawsuits filed by a human or legal entity explicitly on behalf of an AI agent will qualify provided the AI agent is clearly named or described as the plaintiff or real party in interest. Filings where the purported “AI agent” is actually a human using a pseudonym or bot identity will not qualify unless court records or a consensus of credible reporting confirm the plaintiff is a non-human AI system. Arbitration demands, demand letters, administrative complaints, or other non-court proceedings will not qualify. A qualifying lawsuit will count regardless of outcome, including if it is later dismissed, withdrawn, or struck for lack of standing or legal capacity. The primary resolution source will be official court records; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
This market will resolve according to the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games. The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this market will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Spread: Bengals (-9.5)
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bengals" if the Bengals win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Browns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South in the 2025-2026 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers team to win the NFC South based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from finishing first in the division), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
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How It Works
Our algorithms monitor Polymarket 24/7, analyzing price movements, volume patterns, and market sentiment.
We correlate market data with real-time news and social media sentiment to identify mispriced opportunities.
High-confidence opportunities become actionable YES/NO signals with entry prices and reasoning.